Heat/Cold Mortality

Desired Trend

Down

Current Trend

Down
Baseline (2010): 22
Current (2015): 11

Theme Prepared

Definition

Number of heat- and cold-related deaths

Why is it Important?

Extreme cold and extreme heat are the most common causes of weather-related deaths in the United States.1 Extreme heat can cause life-threatening illnesses such as heat exhaustion or heat stroke and can increase the risk of suffering a heart attack. Extreme cold can result in hypothermia and also increases the risk of heart attacks.2 Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and duration of heat waves, which will increase the risk of heat-related deaths. Conversely, climate change is expected to reduce the number of cold-related deaths, but not enough to offset the expected increase in heat-related deaths.3 Both heat- and cold-related deaths are preventable through proactive efforts such as public notification systems and public shelters. This indicator provides a conservative estimate of the number of heat- and cold-related deaths in the St. Louis region. Only deaths that are classified by medical professionals as related to excessive heat or excessive cold are included in the measure.

How are we Doing?

In the St. Louis region, the number of deaths due to excessive heat or cold decreased from 22 in the baseline year of 2010 to 11 in 2015.4 The number of deaths fluctuated from 2000 to 2015 peaking at 38 in 2012. The number of heat or cold related deaths in 2015 was the lowest it has been since 2008 when the number was 12. 

Over the 2011-2015 time period, the St. Louis region ranked 5th among the 50 largest metropolitan regions, with a higher rate of heat- and cold-related deaths per capita than most of the other peer regions. There was an average of 1.0 heat- and cold-related deaths per 100,000 population in the St. Louis region compared to 0.7 deaths per 100,000 population for the United States.

 

Heat and Cold Deaths

Geographic Level

St. Louis Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA). View map.

Notes

1Goklany, Indur, Death and Death Rates Due to Extreme Weather Events: Global and U.S. Trends, 1900-2006, November 2007; accessed on 12 February 2014 at http://www.csccc.info/reports/report_23.pdf

2American heart Association, Cold Weather and Cardiovascular Disease, 4 December 2013; accessed on 15 February 2014 at http://www.heart.org/HEARTORG/Conditions/More/MyHeartandStrokeNews/Cold-Weather-and-Cardiovascular-Disease_UCM_315615_Article.jsp

3U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Climate Change Indicators in the United States, 13 September 2013; accessed on 8 January 2014 at http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/science/indicators/society-eco/heat-deaths.html

4The heat- and cold-related deaths included in this indicator are those that were classified as having “excessive heat” or “excessive cold” as an underlying or contributing cause of death on the death certificate. Data for 2004 is not available due to the low number of heat- and cold-related deaths that year. 

Data Sources

Wonder Multiple Cause of Death Database, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention